Otrant Ulcinj vs FK Podgorica analysis

Otrant Ulcinj FK Podgorica
43 ELO 54
-11.5% Tilt 3.5%
2324º General ELO ranking 3784º
12º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
18.2%
Otrant Ulcinj
23.1%
Draw
58.7%
FK Podgorica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
Otrant Ulcinj
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.7%
Win probability
FK Podgorica
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Otrant Ulcinj
-29%
-19%
FK Podgorica

Points and table prediction

Otrant Ulcinj
Their league position
FK Podgorica
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
10º
44
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Mladost DG
53
61
77%
Kom Podgorica
49
56
41%
FK Berane
48
56
28%
FK Bokelj
47
54
41%
FK Podgorica
44
51
43.5%
Igalo
38
45
12%
Otrant Ulcinj
38
45
24.5%
Grbalj
39
45
29.5%
Zeta
34
41
39.5%
Nikšić
10º
0
39
10º
50.5%
Expected probabilities
Otrant Ulcinj
FK Podgorica
Promotion
0% 0.5%
Promotion play-offs
0% 13.5%
Mid-table
88.5% 86%
Relegation
11.5% 0%

ELO progression

Otrant Ulcinj
FK Podgorica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Otrant Ulcinj
Otrant Ulcinj
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2022
OUL
Otrant Ulcinj
2 - 1
Zeta
ZET
24%
26%
50%
41 50 9 0
20 Nov. 2022
GRB
Grbalj
1 - 0
Otrant Ulcinj
OUL
46%
25%
29%
42 44 2 -1
16 Nov. 2022
IGA
Igalo
1 - 1
Otrant Ulcinj
OUL
54%
25%
21%
41 49 8 +1
13 Nov. 2022
OUL
Otrant Ulcinj
0 - 2
Nikšić
OFK
39%
26%
36%
43 45 2 -2
30 Oct. 2022
OUL
Otrant Ulcinj
3 - 0
FK Berane
BER
15%
21%
64%
39 51 12 +4

Matches

FK Podgorica
FK Podgorica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2022
KOM
Kom Podgorica
4 - 3
FK Podgorica
MLJ
39%
27%
34%
54 53 1 0
20 Nov. 2022
MLJ
FK Podgorica
1 - 1
FK Bokelj
BOK
48%
26%
26%
54 56 2 0
13 Nov. 2022
MLJ
FK Podgorica
1 - 0
Zeta
ZET
53%
25%
23%
54 52 2 0
05 Nov. 2022
GRB
Grbalj
2 - 0
FK Podgorica
MLJ
16%
23%
61%
54 42 12 0
30 Oct. 2022
MLJ
FK Podgorica
2 - 0
Nikšić
OFK
61%
22%
17%
54 47 7 0