Otrant Ulcinj vs Kom Podgorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
10º
7º
49
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 73.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MLJ
0 - 3
OUL
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
ZET
1 - 1
OUL
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
OUL
3 - 0
GRB
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
OUL
2 - 0
IGA
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
OUL
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Kom Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BOK
2 - 2
KOM
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
MLJ
1 - 1
KOM
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KOM
2 - 0
ZET
37%
28%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GRB
2 - 0
KOM
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
IGA
2 - 1
KOM
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |