Otrant Ulcinj vs Kom Podgorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
10º
7º
49
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 73.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MLJ
5 - 0
OUL
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ZET
2 - 0
OUL
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 0
GRB
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OFK
2 - 0
OUL
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 1
IGA
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kom Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BOK
1 - 0
KOM
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MLJ
0 - 1
KOM
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
KOM
1 - 2
ZET
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GRB
1 - 0
KOM
19%
24%
58%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
KOM
0 - 0
OFK
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |