Otrant Ulcinj vs Igalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
10º
7º
38
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
OUL
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
FKM
22%
25%
54%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
BOK
27%
29%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
KOM
1 - 0
OUL
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 0
MLJ
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Igalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
IGA
1 - 1
KOM
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
MLJ
3 - 0
IGA
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MLJ
2 - 2
IGA
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
IGA
1 - 0
ZET
24%
28%
48%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GRB
1 - 1
IGA
29%
27%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |