Otrant Ulcinj vs Igalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JEZ
2 - 0
OUL
27%
25%
49%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OUL
1 - 0
MOR
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 5
OUL
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
KOM
2 - 1
OUL
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
OUL
2 - 0
RDB
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Igalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
IGA
4 - 0
FKC
29%
27%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FKC
3 - 0
IGA
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
IGA
2 - 1
BRA
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
IGA
0 - 1
IBA
31%
28%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BER
3 - 1
IGA
70%
18%
13%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |