Otrant Ulcinj vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
10º
7º
39
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
OUL
2 - 0
IGA
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
OUL
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 1
FKM
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 1
BOK
23%
28%
48%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KOM
1 - 2
OUL
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GRB
2 - 0
KOM
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
MLJ
0 - 0
GRB
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GRB
1 - 0
ZET
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BOK
1 - 1
GRB
62%
24%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GRB
0 - 1
IGA
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |