Otrant Ulcinj vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
10º
7º
39
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OFK
2 - 0
OUL
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 1
IGA
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
OUL
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
FKM
22%
25%
54%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
BOK
27%
29%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GRB
1 - 0
KOM
19%
24%
58%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MLJ
2 - 1
GRB
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GRB
0 - 1
ZET
19%
26%
55%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BOK
1 - 1
GRB
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OFK
2 - 1
GRB
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |