Otrant Ulcinj vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ZAB
1 - 0
OUL
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
OUL
2 - 3
IBA
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BER
3 - 0
OUL
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
ZAB
1 - 0
OUL
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
OUL
1 - 0
TBP
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
FKA
1 - 1
CRV
40%
28%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
GUS
1 - 0
FKA
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ZAB
1 - 0
FKA
66%
20%
13%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CRV
2 - 0
FKA
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
FKA
0 - 0
JEZ
26%
28%
47%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |