Otrant Ulcinj vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
FKD
0 - 0
OUL
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
JED
2 - 0
OUL
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
OUL
1 - 5
MLJ
30%
29%
41%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
BOK
3 - 1
OUL
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
OUL
3 - 0
IGA
50%
29%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
DEC
4 - 1
IBA
60%
22%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
BER
1 - 3
DEC
26%
25%
50%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
DEC
4 - 1
JED
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MLJ
0 - 1
DEC
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
DEC
1 - 0
BOK
30%
29%
41%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |