Otrant Ulcinj vs FK Bokelj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
48.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
10º
7º
47
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KOM
1 - 2
OUL
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
MLJ
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
OUL
2 - 1
ZET
24%
26%
50%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GRB
1 - 0
OUL
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
IGA
1 - 1
OUL
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FK Bokelj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KOM
0 - 0
BOK
43%
28%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BOK
3 - 0
IGA
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MLJ
1 - 1
BOK
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BOK
0 - 1
BER
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZET
0 - 0
BOK
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |