Otrant Ulcinj vs FK Bokelj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
44.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
10º
7º
47
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
KOM
1 - 0
OUL
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 0
MLJ
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
OUL
4 - 3
MOR
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
DEC
4 - 0
OUL
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
OUL
2 - 0
FKD
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
FK Bokelj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BOK
2 - 1
OFK
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
KOM
3 - 0
BOK
40%
28%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
IGA
0 - 4
BOK
33%
30%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
BOK
1 - 1
FKM
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
BOK
2 - 0
JED
31%
28%
42%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |