Neftçi vs Turan-T analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
9º
6º
55
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 0
FKN
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
FKN
1 - 0
FCK
62%
21%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
FKN
1 - 0
SUM
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
FKN
0 - 1
QAR
43%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
ZIR
1 - 2
FKN
42%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
TUR
0 - 2
ZIR
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
0 - 1
TUR
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
TUR
1 - 0
ARA
47%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SFK
2 - 1
TUR
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
TUR
1 - 1
SEB
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |