Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 9-0
Neftçi vs Speranţa Nisporeni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
SPE
0 - 3
FKN
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
SKA
1 - 3
FKN
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
FKN
2 - 3
QAR
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FKQ
1 - 3
FKN
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FKN
2 - 3
SUM
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Speranţa Nisporeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
SPE
0 - 3
FKN
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
FCS
0 - 3
SPE
17%
20%
63%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
SHF
3 - 0
SPE
81%
14%
5%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
SPE
6 - 1
FCS
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
SPE
0 - 1
MIL
21%
29%
50%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |