Neftçi vs Simurq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
AZA
2 - 1
FKN
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
SHA
2 - 1
FKN
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FKN
3 - 2
SUM
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
QAR
0 - 0
FKN
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
FKN
3 - 0
FKQ
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Simurq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SIM
2 - 0
KHA
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2014 |
SIM
5 - 2
FKB
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SIM
1 - 1
SHA
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SUM
2 - 1
SIM
29%
29%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
SIM
6 - 0
REV
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |