Neftçi vs Simurq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FKN
2 - 1
FKQ
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
QAR
3 - 1
FKN
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
FKN
1 - 0
FCK
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SUM
1 - 2
FKN
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AZA
2 - 1
FKN
42%
28%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Simurq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
REV
0 - 3
SIM
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SIM
3 - 0
AZA
36%
30%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FKQ
2 - 1
SIM
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 2
SIM
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SIM
0 - 0
QAR
32%
30%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |