Neftçi vs FK Sabail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
9º
6º
22
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
TUR
1 - 2
FKN
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FKN
2 - 2
FCK
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
SUM
2 - 2
FKN
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
SFK
1 - 1
FKN
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
QAR
3 - 0
FKN
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
SEB
0 - 1
ZIR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SHA
1 - 1
SEB
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SEB
1 - 1
ARA
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
SFK
3 - 2
SEB
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
SEB
1 - 4
QAR
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |