Neftçi vs FK Sabail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
4º
3º
29
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 0
FKQ
45%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SUM
2 - 2
FKN
21%
27%
52%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ZIR
0 - 3
FKN
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 3
SFK
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 2
FKN
9%
22%
69%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MOI
0 - 4
SEB
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ZIR
1 - 0
SEB
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 2
SFK
18%
25%
57%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
3 - 0
SEB
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 0
SHA
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |