Azerbaijan Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Neftçi vs Ravan Baku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
14%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SHA
2 - 1
FKN
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FKN
1 - 0
FKB
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FKN
1 - 0
KHA
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
REV
0 - 1
FKN
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
FKN
0 - 0
SHA
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ravan Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
QAR
5 - 1
REV
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
REV
1 - 1
SUM
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
SHA
3 - 0
REV
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
REV
0 - 1
FKN
30%
27%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
FKB
0 - 1
REV
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |