Neftçi vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FKQ
0 - 0
FKN
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FKN
1 - 0
KHA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
FKN
2 - 1
SIM
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
FKN
1 - 2
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 2
FKN
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
QAR
1 - 0
SIM
49%
27%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
QAR
0 - 0
ASS
23%
26%
50%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AZA
0 - 3
QAR
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
QAR
2 - 2
FKB
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
TWE
1 - 1
QAR
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |