Neftçi vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
SUM
2 - 0
FKN
17%
25%
58%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
FKN
2 - 2
SHA
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FKB
2 - 0
FKN
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
KHA
2 - 2
FKN
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FKN
3 - 0
SIM
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
QAR
0 - 0
SIM
54%
26%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
REV
0 - 2
QAR
28%
28%
45%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
QAR
2 - 1
AZA
52%
27%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FKQ
0 - 1
QAR
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
QAR
0 - 1
KHA
51%
27%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |