Neftçi vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
27.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCK
1 - 1
FKN
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FKN
0 - 1
SHA
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
SIM
1 - 2
FKN
26%
29%
45%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
FKN
1 - 0
FKB
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FKN
2 - 0
FKQ
49%
29%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
SIM
0 - 1
QAR
24%
28%
49%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
REV
1 - 1
QAR
34%
30%
36%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
QAR
3 - 1
TUR
67%
22%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AZA
1 - 3
QAR
42%
29%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
QAR
0 - 1
KHA
43%
29%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |