Neftçi vs Gabala FK analysis

Neftçi Gabala FK
73 ELO 70
9.1% Tilt -7.8%
1471º General ELO ranking 1166º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
48.8%
Neftçi
24.7%
Draw
26.5%
Gabala FK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
Neftçi
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.5%
Win probability
Gabala FK
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neftçi
+3%
+8%
Gabala FK

Points and table prediction

Neftçi
Their league position
Gabala FK
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
26
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Qarabağ
83
83
100%
Zira FK
58
58
100%
Sabah
58
58
100%
Sumgayit
57
57
100%
Neftçi
56
56
100%
Turan-T
48
48
100%
FK Sabail
42
42
100%
Araz PFK
36
36
100%
FC Kapaz
35
35
100%
Gabala FK
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Neftçi
Gabala FK
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Neftçi
Gabala FK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neftçi
Neftçi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2023
SFK
Sabah
1 - 1
Neftçi
FKN
52%
25%
23%
72 73 1 0
17 Aug. 2023
BJK
Beşiktaş
2 - 1
Neftçi
FKN
78%
14%
8%
72 86 14 0
14 Aug. 2023
FKN
Neftçi
1 - 1
FK Sabail
SEB
70%
19%
12%
72 59 13 0
10 Aug. 2023
FKN
Neftçi
1 - 3
Beşiktaş
BJK
14%
22%
64%
73 86 13 -1
06 Aug. 2023
FCK
FC Kapaz
1 - 0
Neftçi
FKN
17%
26%
58%
73 58 15 0

Matches

Gabala FK
Gabala FK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2023
FKQ
Gabala FK
1 - 2
Sumgayit
SUM
62%
23%
16%
71 62 9 0
12 Aug. 2023
ARA
Araz PFK
2 - 0
Gabala FK
FKQ
41%
26%
32%
72 70 2 -1
06 Aug. 2023
SFK
Sabah
5 - 0
Gabala FK
FKQ
47%
25%
28%
73 73 0 -1
03 Aug. 2023
OMO
Omonia Nicosia
4 - 1
Gabala FK
FKQ
42%
25%
34%
73 73 0 0
27 Jul. 2023
FKQ
Gabala FK
2 - 3
Omonia Nicosia
OMO
49%
25%
27%
74 73 1 -1