Neftçi vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
8º
5º
26
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SFK
1 - 1
FKN
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
BJK
2 - 1
FKN
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 1
SEB
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 3
BJK
14%
22%
64%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 0
FKN
17%
26%
58%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 2
SUM
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
FKQ
41%
26%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SFK
5 - 0
FKQ
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
OMO
4 - 1
FKQ
42%
25%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
FKQ
2 - 3
OMO
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |