Neftçi vs Gabala FK analysis

Neftçi Gabala FK
74 ELO 68
7.2% Tilt -6.5%
1471º General ELO ranking 1165º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57%
Neftçi
22.9%
Draw
20.2%
Gabala FK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
Neftçi
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.2%
Win probability
Gabala FK
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neftçi
+4%
+8%
Gabala FK

ELO progression

Neftçi
Gabala FK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neftçi
Neftçi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2021
QAR
Qarabağ
1 - 2
Neftçi
FKN
46%
26%
28%
73 73 0 0
07 Feb. 2021
ZIR
Zira FK
0 - 0
Neftçi
FKN
45%
25%
30%
73 71 2 0
02 Feb. 2021
FKN
Neftçi
0 - 1
Zira FK
ZIR
57%
22%
21%
74 71 3 -1
21 Jan. 2021
SEB
FK Sabail
1 - 3
Neftçi
FKN
26%
27%
47%
73 63 10 +1
14 Jan. 2021
FKN
Neftçi
4 - 3
Shamakhi
SHA
71%
18%
11%
79 66 13 -6

Matches

Gabala FK
Gabala FK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2021
FKQ
Gabala FK
2 - 0
Shamakhi
SHA
44%
26%
30%
67 66 1 0
06 Feb. 2021
FKQ
Gabala FK
0 - 3
Qarabağ
QAR
34%
26%
40%
68 75 7 -1
01 Feb. 2021
QAR
Qarabağ
3 - 1
Gabala FK
FKQ
54%
23%
23%
69 74 5 -1
25 Jan. 2021
TUR
Turan-T
0 - 2
Gabala FK
FKQ
26%
23%
51%
68 60 8 +1
21 Jan. 2021
ZIR
Zira FK
2 - 0
Gabala FK
FKQ
45%
26%
29%
69 70 1 -1