Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-5
Neftçi vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 2
FKN
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FKN
1 - 0
FKB
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 3
FKN
56%
22%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
FKN
0 - 0
CHI
46%
25%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
FCK
0 - 2
FKN
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
FKD
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 2
FKN
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
RAD
1 - 4
PAR
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
VOZ
1 - 3
PAR
16%
24%
60%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 2
LUD
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |