Neftçi vs FC Kapaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
4º
3º
31
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
RAP
2 - 0
FKN
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
FKN
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 1
RAP
30%
25%
46%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
FKN
3 - 0
ARI
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 0
FKN
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 2
ZIR
11%
24%
65%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 0
SKF
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
ZAQ
0 - 1
FCK
63%
22%
16%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 1
MOI
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
ZIK
3 - 2
FCK
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |