Neftçi vs ZSKA Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.9%
3.1%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1996 |
LSO
6 - 0
FKN
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
FKN
2 - 1
LSO
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1995 |
FKN
1 - 1
TUR
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
FKN
4 - 1
BAK
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 10 | 64 | 0 |