Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 3-4
Neftçi vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
FKN
3 - 0
ARS
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
ARS
0 - 1
FKN
50%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
FKN
6 - 0
SPE
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
SPE
0 - 3
FKN
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
SKA
1 - 3
FKN
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
WIS
0 - 4
BNE
4%
13%
83%
|
73 | 32 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BNE
0 - 1
MTA
25%
24%
51%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
BNE
1 - 2
HEH
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 2
BNE
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
BNE
1 - 1
MAC
43%
24%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |