FK Neftchala vs FK Mugan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
53%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Neftchala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LBA
1 - 2
FKN
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FKN
5 - 1
GEY
67%
19%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TAR
0 - 2
FKN
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
FKN
2 - 0
SHA
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MOI
1 - 2
FKN
69%
18%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FK Mugan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MUG
4 - 1
BAK
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
KAR
2 - 0
MUG
21%
28%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MUG
2 - 1
ARA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
SUS
1 - 1
MUG
21%
28%
51%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MUG
3 - 2
GEY
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |