Naftagas vs Jedinstvo Stara Pazova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
14º
4º
40
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 69 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 60 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 57 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
63% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
97% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
72% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
ONB
7 - 1
FKN
34%
22%
44%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
FKS
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TIA
1 - 2
FKN
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
KNS
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BOS
3 - 1
FKN
57%
23%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Jedinstvo Stara Pazova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
JSP
0 - 0
DIN
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BAK
2 - 1
JSP
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FKB
0 - 3
JSP
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
JSP
0 - 0
ONB
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 2
JSP
23%
21%
56%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |