Naftagas vs Podunavac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
14º
4º
40
3º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 69 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 60 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 57 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
63% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
97% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
72% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DIN
3 - 1
FKN
38%
25%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FKN
1 - 0
BAK
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
JSP
3 - 1
FKN
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 0
ONB
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FKS
1 - 2
FKN
32%
22%
46%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Podunavac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FKB
0 - 0
BOS
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DIN
1 - 1
FKB
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FKB
0 - 1
HAJ
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BAK
0 - 0
FKB
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FKB
1 - 0
FKB
54%
22%
23%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |