FK Mugan vs AZAL PFC Baku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
42.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Mugan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SIM
1 - 0
MUG
69%
21%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
MUG
1 - 0
SSU
29%
27%
43%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
KAR
0 - 0
MUG
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
TUR
1 - 2
MUG
56%
24%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
FKB
0 - 0
MUG
76%
17%
7%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
AZAL PFC Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
AZA
4 - 1
TUR
57%
25%
17%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AZA
0 - 0
KAR
58%
25%
16%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SIM
0 - 3
AZA
52%
28%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
AZA
0 - 0
SIM
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
AZA
1 - 2
SSU
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |