Mladost DG vs FK Podgorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
5º
1º
44
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
77% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 86% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost DG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ZET
0 - 2
FKM
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GRB
2 - 3
FKM
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
FKM
5 - 0
OFK
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
IGA
0 - 0
FKM
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
FKM
3 - 2
BER
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FK Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MLJ
5 - 0
OUL
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MLJ
0 - 1
KOM
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
BOK
1 - 1
MLJ
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ZET
2 - 3
MLJ
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MLJ
2 - 1
GRB
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |