Mladost DG vs Igalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
5º
1º
38
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
77% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost DG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
FKM
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BOK
0 - 0
FKM
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FKM
1 - 0
OUL
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
KOM
2 - 1
FKM
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FKM
0 - 0
MLJ
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Igalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
IGA
0 - 0
OUL
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
KOM
2 - 1
IGA
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
IGA
1 - 0
MLJ
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ZET
0 - 3
IGA
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
IGA
1 - 0
GRB
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |