Mladost DG vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
5º
1º
39
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
77% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost DG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 0
FKM
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FKM
0 - 3
IGA
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BER
3 - 0
FKM
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BOK
0 - 0
FKM
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FKM
3 - 0
OUL
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GRB
1 - 0
OUL
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
KOM
0 - 0
GRB
66%
21%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRB
2 - 0
MLJ
16%
23%
61%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ZET
2 - 1
GRB
68%
20%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRB
0 - 1
BOK
22%
27%
51%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |