Metallurg Asha vs Tobol Tobolsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Asha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 0
FMA
10%
15%
75%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FMA
1 - 1
MMM
33%
24%
44%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
TOB
1 - 2
FMA
7%
13%
80%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
FMA
10 - 0
MSU
91%
7%
2%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FII
4 - 3
FMA
43%
21%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tobol Tobolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TOB
4 - 2
UNT
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
FAS
3 - 4
TOB
28%
21%
51%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FPP
4 - 2
TOB
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TOB
2 - 1
FCC
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MMM
4 - 2
TOB
82%
12%
7%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |