Lofoten vs Mjølner analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lofoten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2004 |
HAR
1 - 4
LOF
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
LOF
3 - 0
VFC
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
KOL
2 - 0
LOF
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
LOF
4 - 1
ALT
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +3 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MOI
3 - 0
LOF
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Mjølner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
MJO
0 - 1
BYA
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2004 |
ROS
1 - 2
MJO
75%
15%
11%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
MJO
1 - 4
LEV
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MJO
0 - 1
IFS
49%
22%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
HAR
4 - 1
MJO
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -3 |