Lofoten vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lofoten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
MOI
7 - 0
LOF
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
SEN
3 - 2
LOF
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
LOF
1 - 4
TRO
15%
20%
65%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
ROS
5 - 3
LOF
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LOF
0 - 1
TRO
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 1
TRO
50%
23%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ROS
0 - 3
BAR
37%
23%
40%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2008 |
BAR
4 - 1
TRO
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
EID
1 - 2
BAR
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 5
ULL
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |