FK Liepāja vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
7º
3º
22
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 82 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 79 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 59 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 57 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 50 |
5º
|
67.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 34 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 29 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
58.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
41.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
4 - 2
LIE
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 0
FKJ
67%
21%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
AUD
3 - 0
LIE
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 5
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
RIG
4 - 1
LIE
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 2
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 1
SUP
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
GRO
46%
24%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 1
SUP
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 2
SUP
50%
24%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |