FK Liepāja vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
7º
5º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BFC
2 - 1
LIE
15%
22%
63%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 0
FKT
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
AUD
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
FKJ
70%
20%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
LIE
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 4
RIG
6%
15%
79%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
SUP
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
VAL
7%
16%
78%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
SUP
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 1
FKJ
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |