FK Liepāja vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
7º
3º
17
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
47.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 53% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PFC
2 - 3
LIE
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
LIE
3 - 0
VOL
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
CSK
4 - 1
LIE
35%
24%
40%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
BAN
1 - 2
LIE
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 0
DTE
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 2
FKT
31%
21%
48%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
KZA
4 - 0
FSM
59%
22%
20%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
FLO
1 - 0
FSM
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
HLI
2 - 1
FSM
67%
18%
15%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
PAI
1 - 2
FSM
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |