FK Liepāja vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
7º
5º
35
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 2
VAL
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
2 - 1
LIE
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 3
RIG
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 4
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 4
LIE
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 2
SUP
70%
18%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 1
FKT
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 0
VAL
13%
20%
67%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
FKT
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 7
RIG
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |