FK Liepāja vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
7º
3º
27
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
63% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
47.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
AUD
3 - 0
LIE
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 5
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
RIG
4 - 1
LIE
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HLI
3 - 3
LIE
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
LIE
4 - 1
GRO
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
4 - 1
BFC
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 1
SUP
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKJ
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FKJ
1 - 1
CAR
15%
22%
63%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 0
FKJ
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |