FK Liepāja vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
7º
5º
40
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
LIE
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
LIE
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIE
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 4
VAL
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
LIE
13%
22%
65%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 1
FKJ
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
13%
22%
65%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 5
FKJ
75%
18%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FKJ
2 - 0
FKT
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |