Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 3-3
FK Liepāja vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
CRU
3 - 1
LIE
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
FKS
1 - 1
LIE
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
LIE
1 - 0
VEN
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
LIE
1 - 0
ZAL
25%
22%
53%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
RIG
2 - 0
LIE
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
CRU
3 - 1
LIE
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CRU
6 - 1
GLE
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 0
CRU
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
CRU
3 - 2
COL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CLI
2 - 3
CRU
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |