FK Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
10º
6º
42
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 2
LIE
16%
24%
60%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 3
LIE
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LIE
2 - 1
AUD
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
LIE
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 3
VAL
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 2
AUD
26%
26%
49%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 5
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 3
RIG
22%
23%
55%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
FSM
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |