FK Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
7º
5º
36
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 3
LIE
17%
24%
60%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
AUD
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
3 - 2
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 0
LIE
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 3
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 5
RIG
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
CAR
11%
22%
67%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
VAL
8%
17%
75%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
BFC
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 0
SUP
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |