Kyustendil vs Chavdar Etropole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
8º
4º
28
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 15 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 14 |
4º
|
93.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 13 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 13 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 12 |
7º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 11 |
8º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 11 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kyustendil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
FKK
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FKK
2 - 1
KOS
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NAD
1 - 2
FKK
7%
18%
75%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FKK
2 - 0
OBO
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GRV
0 - 6
FKK
9%
19%
72%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Chavdar Etropole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
CSK
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
SOF
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SLI
1 - 1
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
BOT
87%
11%
3%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
SSO
3 - 4
CHA
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |