Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kyustendil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 0
FKK
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
FKK
2 - 0
OBO
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FKK
0 - 0
MAR
76%
16%
9%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
LCH
0 - 4
FKK
8%
14%
78%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
FKK
6 - 0
GRV
84%
11%
6%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Ihtiman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BOT
3 - 2
LCH
88%
8%
4%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
GRV
2 - 2
BOT
27%
21%
52%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 1
BOT
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
BOT
3 - 0
BAN
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +3 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
PIR
0 - 1
BOT
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |