Kauno Žalgiris II vs Panevėžys II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
15º
15º
16
6º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 51 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 72.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
43% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 3
ATM
32%
25%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 2
NEV
22%
24%
53%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 1
FKK
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 3
NEP
9%
17%
74%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2025 |
BAB
3 - 1
FKK
77%
16%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
NEV
0 - 1
PAN
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 2
FKT
16%
20%
64%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 5
NEP
10%
17%
73%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
BAB
4 - 2
PAN
74%
16%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 1
BEN
17%
24%
60%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |