Kauno Žalgiris II vs Nevezis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
15º
15º
17
5º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 51 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
43% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 1
FKK
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 3
NEP
9%
17%
74%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2025 |
BAB
3 - 1
FKK
77%
16%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 1
FKK
69%
21%
11%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
FKT
3 - 0
FKK
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
NEV
1 - 0
BFA
44%
25%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
FKE
0 - 1
NEV
34%
26%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
NEV
0 - 1
ATM
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
NEV
1 - 0
LIE
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 1
NEV
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |